trading / confluences / SW-31-breakout-latency-window
SW-31 — breakout latency window DROPPED
Corpus lane — SW-31 · Killed before scoring, in the open, with a written reason.
BURNED DATA — 2019–2026 was selected on before this lab existedNOT TV-VERIFIEDSCREENING ≠ CERTIFICATIONOPTIMISTIC FILL MODEL — touch fills, zero slippageMES ONLY · P1 M2 managementSOLO LEDGER IS NOT A BOOK — never summed
What it asks
Only take the signal if it fires within some window after the opening range.
Drop record — verbatim
DROPPED: reduces to the FDR-dead `n4-earlySignal`. Both gate on how soon after the opening range the signal fires, so the mechanism is the same one the 2026-07-21 deep-dive already killed. Design §1 forbids re-running a candidate that reduces to a dead bit — it must be dropped with a note, not re-measured.
Status — DROPPED
DROPPED in the open: it reduces to the FDR-dead n4-earlySignal. Both gate on how soon after the opening range the signal fires, so the mechanism is the one the 2026-07-21 deep-dive already killed. Design §1 forbids re-running a candidate that reduces to a dead bit — it must be dropped with a note, not re-measured. 'Same mechanism, new packaging' counts as reduction.
Retest path
Forbidden while n4-earlySignal stands. Re-opening it means a new registration that cites n4, so the attempt count is visible.
Standing caveats
- Fill model optimistic: touch fills, zero net slippage, entry-bar SL/TP not checked inside the fill minute.
- Not a holdout — 2019-2026 was selected on, tuned on and reported on before this lab existed. A good number here means 'worth pre-registering', nothing more.
- MES only; the P1 edge is MES-centric and recent-regime.
- Masters miss four Sunday-evening blocks (May-Jun 2026); data ends 2026-07-31.
- Mean solo R is an average per candidate. The solo ledger is not a book and is never summed (PROTOCOL.md §0).
- Per-era cells are reported separately and are NOT pooled into a verdict; each is a smaller sample than the headline.
- Nothing on this page is TV-verified. A backtest number becomes actionable only after an independent TradingView Pine port reproduces entries AND per-trade PnL on a Deep Backtest export.
- Screening is not certification. Promotion requires all seven PROTOCOL gates, ending in a forward paired evaluation and a Pine referee.
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